July 1, 2024
Understanding U.S. dollar inflation risk
A plain-language overview of how inflation expectations can influence U.S. dollar exposure.
Inflation expectations influence how markets price currency risk and how portfolios experience real purchasing power changes. When inflation rises faster than expected, USD-denominated cash flows can lose real value, even if nominal balances remain stable.
Common lenses for evaluating inflation risk include:
- Real yield trends relative to nominal yields.
- Commodity and import cost sensitivity for USD-based holdings.
- Time horizon alignment between cash needs and inflation exposure.
This overview is intended to help clients ask better questions and understand the building blocks of inflation analysis.
Disclaimer: This insight is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.